Ma Analysis Mistakes
Despite its many advantages, analysis can be a challenge to master. There are many mistakes that occur during the process, leading to untrue results that can lead to grave consequences. It is essential to avoid these mistakes and be aware of them to maximize the benefits of data-driven decisions. The majority of these errors result from mistakes or misinterpretations. These can be easily rectified by setting clear goals and encouraging accuracy over speed.
Another common mistake is to believe that an individual variable is in normal distribution, when it doesn’t. This can result in models that are either overor under-fitted, and thereby compromising confidence levels and prediction intervals. It could also result in leakage between the training and test set.
When selecting an MA method, it is essential to select one that is suited to the needs of your trading style. An SMA is the best option for markets that are trending, whereas an EMA is more reactive. (It eliminates the lag of the SMA because it gives preference to the most recent data.) Furthermore, the parameter of the MA should be carefully selected based on whether or not you are seeking the trend to be long-term or short-term (the 200 EMA would suit the longer timeframe).
It is important to double-check the accuracy of your work before submitting it to be reviewed. This is particularly true when dealing with large amounts data, as errors are more likely to occur. It is also possible to have your supervisor or colleague review your work to find any mistakes you may have missed.
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